TASI, 15 January, 2025
TOPIX
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 2.29999995 | 1.89999998 | 1.10000002 | 1.30000007 | 1.40000010 | 2.40000010 | 2.20000005 | 1.70000005 |
| ES | 3.20000005 | 2.20000005 | 1.20000005 | 1.50000000 | 1.70000005 | 3.40000010 | 2.79999995 | 2.20000005 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,