Topix, index, Japan, 23 May, 2024


TSLA
TASI

Returns

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Data density with normal and t(3)

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Value-at-Risk

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Expexted Shortfall

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Risk forecasts

Type HS MA EWMA GARCH tGARCH EVT ModelRisk Mean
VaR 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.4 1.2 2.3
ES 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.8 1.2 2.6

Price drop given year

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Probability of price drop

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Autocorrelations

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Quantile-Quantile plots

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TSLA
TASI

Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis
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