S&P 500, index, United States, 18 June, 2024
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| ES | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,