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NGX

NGSEASI
4 September 2025
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Returns

Returns chart for NGX showing historical price movements

Data density with normal and t(3)

Data density chart for NGX with normal and t(3) distributions

Value-at-Risk

Value-at-Risk chart for NGX showing risk forecasts

Expected Shortfall

Expected Shortfall chart for NGX showing tail risk measures

Risk forecasts

Type HS MA EWMA GARCH tGARCH EVT ModelRisk Mean
VaR 2.00000000 1.79999995 1.60000002 1.50000000 2.20000005 2.00000000 1.50000000 1.89999998
ES 2.50000000 2.00000000 1.89999998 1.70000005 4.50000000 2.50000000 2.59999990 2.50000000

Price drop given year

Price drop given year chart for NGX showing historical decline patterns

Probability of price drop

Probability of price drop chart for NGX showing risk event likelihood

Autocorrelations

Autocorrelation Function (ACF) plot showing return and squared return patterns for NGX

Quantile-Quantile plots

Quantile-Quantile QQ plots for NGX across various tail thicknesses.
Extreme Risk. Daily Market Risk Forecasts

Real-time market risk analysis and forecasts for global financial markets

© Jon Danielsson