Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expected Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| ES | 4.9 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
