Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expected Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 3.09999990 | 3.20000005 | 3.59999990 | 3.59999990 | 3.79999995 | 3.40000010 | 1.20000005 | 3.40000010 |
| ES | 5.40000010 | 3.70000005 | 4.19999981 | 4.09999990 | 4.69999981 | 5.20000029 | 1.50000000 | 4.50000000 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
