MOEX, 05 May, 2025
MSFT
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 5.1 |
| ES | 10.3 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 8.4 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 7.5 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,