JPY/EUR, 23 June, 2025
KFX
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | inf | 1.4 |
| ES | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | inf | 1.6 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson, 2025