JPY/EUR, 02 June, 2025
KFX
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 84.199997 | 1.5 |
| ES | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 47.799999 | 1.7 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson, 2025