IBEX 35, 20 January, 2025


ICEX
HSI

Returns

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Data density with normal and t(3)

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Value-at-Risk

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Expexted Shortfall

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Risk forecasts

Type HS MA EWMA GARCH tGARCH EVT ModelRisk Mean
VaR 2.89999986 2.29999995 1.79999995 2.00000000 2.09999990 2.80000019 1.60000002 2.29999995
ES 3.70000005 2.60000014 2.09999990 2.20000005 2.50000000 4.00000000 2.00000000 2.89999986

Price drop given year

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Probability of price drop

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Autocorrelations

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Quantile-Quantile plots

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ICEX
HSI

Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis
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