Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expected Shortfall
Risk forecasts
Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VaR | 3.8 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 3.5 |
ES | 6.2 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 4.6 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme Risk. Daily Market Risk Forecasts
Real-time market risk analysis and forecasts for global financial markets© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,