Hang Seng, index, Hong Kong, 05 September, 2024
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 3.7 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| ES | 4.5 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 3.8 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,