Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expected Shortfall
Risk forecasts
Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VaR | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.5 |
ES | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme Risk. Daily Market Risk Forecasts
Real-time market risk analysis and forecasts for global financial markets© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,