FTSE 350, index, United Kingdom, 18 May, 2023


FTSEMIB
FTSE100

Returns

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Data density with normal and t(3)

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Value-at-Risk

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Expexted Shortfall

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Risk forecasts

Type HS MA EWMA GARCH tGARCH EVT ModelRisk Mean
VaR 3.7 2.8 1.6 1.5 1.7 3.8 2.5 2.5
ES 5.3 3.2 1.8 1.8 2.3 5.4 3.1 3.3

Price drop given year

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Probability of price drop

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Autocorrelations

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Quantile-Quantile plots

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FTSEMIB
FTSE100

Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis
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