FTSE 100, index, United Kingdom, 18 May, 2023
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| ES | 5.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,