DAX , index, Germany, 30 November, 2023
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| ES | 5.9 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 3.8 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,