DAX , 11 March, 2025
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VaR | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 |
ES | 3.7 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 4.2 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,