Apple, equity, United States, 18 June, 2024
Returns
Data density with normal and t(3)
Value-at-Risk
Expexted Shortfall
Risk forecasts
| Type | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaR | 4.8 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 4.7 |
| ES | 5.9 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 5.7 |
Price drop given year
Probability of price drop
Autocorrelations
Quantile-Quantile plots
Extreme risk
Daily market risk forecasts and analysis© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,