Daily out-of-sample risk forecasts for a range of assets. Estimation window is 1000 days, and probability is 99%, with portfolio value 1000 in the native currency. Returns are log returns, .
The two risk measures that are estimated are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES), both at the 99% probability.
These measures are described here.
The statistical models used in the forecasting can be seen here.
The models are estimated with code from Financial Risk Forecasting.
© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson, 2018